AGP Executive Report
Last update: 20 minutes agoRed Sea Pressure on Djibouti’s Doorstep: Djibouti urged de-escalation as fighting in northern Ethiopia threatens stability across the Horn, with Djibouti warning the renewed conflict could undermine regional integration. Ethiopia–TPLF Frontline Updates: Pro-government forces said they took Alamata in southern Tigray, while reports also describe heavy clashes across Afar and Amhara and renewed fears of a return to the 2020–2022 war. Regional Accusations: Ethiopia’s army chief accused Sudan and Egypt of backing TPLF-linked forces; Sudan denied the claims. Bab el-Mandeb Risk: Analysts say Houthi control around Bab el-Mandeb could create lasting pressure on shipping, raising war-risk costs and hitting Ethiopia’s Djibouti corridor. EU Naval Gap: EU foreign policy chief Kaja Kallas called for more warships for the Red Sea mission, warning current resources may not match the threat level. Djibouti Humanitarian Strain: Djibouti appealed for international support as thousands of Yemenis arrive, with UNHCR reporting nearly 3,000 crossings to Djibouti in under a week. Energy Deal for the Corridor: Aliko Dangote backed a $660m Ethiopia–Djibouti fuel pipeline, aiming to cut delivery times and strengthen energy security.
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